Who should and who will win?

##Best Picture

[[fellowship_logo]]
• **Should Win: [[The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring]]**. It’s quite simply the ballsiest thing I’ve ever seen. It has been considered to be unadaptable for the 40 years since its publication. The movie is quite simply a grand achievment in the impossible. I’m afraid that it won’t win simply because it’s a fantasy film.
• **Will Win: [[A Beautiful Mind]]**. It’s a simpler easier to digest film that has a story that Hollywood likes.

##Best Director

[[pjoscars]]
• **Should Win: Peter Jackson**. Similar to the Best Picture, Peter Jackson actually directed 7 different units spread out over different locations in New Zealand over a period of 18 months (the average shoot for a movie is 3 months), and somehow kept his sanity while keeping the entire thing in his head. This monumental effort deserves to be recognized.
• **Will Win: Ron Howard**. It’s simple. Everyone likes Ron Howard. Many think he should have won for “Apollo 13”. I’m one of them. But it shouldn’t happen this year.

##Best Actor

• **Should Win: Denzel Washington**. He should have won for *The Hurricane” and for ”Malcom X*. Everybody likes him.
• **Will Win: Denzel Washington**. Everybody thinks Russel Crowe is a prick. ‘Nuff said.

##Best Actress

• **Should Win: Halle Barry**.
• **Will Win: Sissy Spacek**.

##Best Supporting Actor

[[gandalf]]
• **Should Win: [[Ian McKellen]]**. Never has someone so completely inhabited a character as Sir Ian did with Gandalf. His interpretation is so spot on that he quite literally *is* Gandalf in the minds of most fans of the books. His performance is both brilliant and accessible. He deserves to be recognized.
• **Will Win: [[Ian McKellen]]**. The academy realizes this.

##Best Supporting Actress

• **Should Win**:
• **Will Win**: